Track Record

Every pick we publish, graded against final scores — wins and losses, with the sample size always shown.

Strong moneyline picks -2% ROI 29–14 (67%) · -0.8u · 43 graded · small sample

Lean moneyline picks -9% ROI 4–4 (50%) · -0.2u · 8 graded · small sample

All published moneyline calls -3% ROI 33–18 (65%) · -1.0u · 51 graded · small sample

The record of the picks FreezyPicks actually publishes — our Strong and Lean moneyline calls, at a flat 1-unit stake priced at the best line we found. ROI is the honest scorecard: a high win rate on heavy favorites can still lose money, so we lead with return, not just wins. Graded straight-up against final scores; tracked sources are below.

Read this first. A win rate over a handful of picks is noise, not skill. We don't hide small samples behind a shiny percentage — anything under ~100 graded picks is flagged, and we show the raw count (n) for every source. Past results never predict future ones.

Source	Market	W	L	Win %	Graded (n)
Model 02	ML	3	1	75%	4 small
Model 04	ML	9	4	69%	13 small
Model 05	ML	8	5	62%	13 small
Model 08	ML	33	22	60%	55 small
Model 07	ML	37	25	60%	62 small
Model 03	ML	7	6	54%	13 small
Model 06	ML	2	2	50%	4 small

Player-Prop Record

Model prop picks graded against official box scores, by market.

Source	League	Market	W	L	Win %	Graded (n)
Model 01	MLB	Outs Recorded	1	2	33%	3 small
Model 01	MLB	To Get a Hit	1	2	33%	3 small
Model 01	MLB	Hits Allowed	0	2	0%	2 small
Model 01	MLB	Walks Allowed	2	0	100%	2 small
Model 01	MLB	To Hit a Home Run	0	1	0%	1 small
Model 01	WNBA	Points Scored	1	0	100%	1 small

Source identities are anonymized; the records are real and accumulate daily. "Win %" counts decided picks only (pushes excluded).

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