Mexico
@
Ecuador
Moneyline (straight up)
Split
Mexico
confidence 21.7/100
| Model consensus | 1 away · 0 home (1 models) |
| Win probability | 51% (Mexico, model average) |
| Sharp money | no clear split |
100% of 1 model away
Iceberg Simulation
10,000 simulations
Win probability
Mexico 39% · Ecuador 35% · Draw 26%
Most likely score
Mexico 1 – 1 Ecuador (12%)
Total points — simulated distribution
The headline pick is the tip — this is the rest of the iceberg. We run the matchup thousands of times from the consensus and market lines to show the full range of outcomes. It's our own engine and doesn't vote in the consensus above. Free, like everything here.
Sources are aggregated and anonymized. We publish facts (which side each tracked model favors), not anyone's written analysis. Picks are graded the next morning — see the track record.
Advertisement