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TB @ KC

MLB · 7:40 PM ET · Tuesday, June 30, 2026

Moneyline (straight up)

Split KC confidence 0.0/100
Model consensus 1 away · 1 home (2 models)
Win probability 47% (KC, model average)
Edge vs market -2.0% — model probability minus the market's vig-free implied probability
Best available price +102 at novig
Sharp money TB (+18 handle over tickets)

50% of 2 models home; sharp money fades it (+18 on away)

Iceberg Simulation

10,000 simulations
Win probability TB 52% · KC 48%
Most likely score TB 3 – 2 KC (2%)
Total 9.5 Over 45% · Under 55%
KC covers 1.5 62%
Total points — simulated distribution
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The headline pick is the tip — this is the rest of the iceberg. We run the matchup thousands of times from the consensus and market lines to show the full range of outcomes. It's our own engine and doesn't vote in the consensus above. Free, like everything here.

Sources are aggregated and anonymized. We publish facts (which side each tracked model favors), not anyone's written analysis. Picks are graded the next morning — see the track record.

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